Monday, May 23, 2005

Risk, Miles to Go and Uncertainty

Using the accepted rules, linear response, Freeman Dyson calculated that each Orion launch would kill .1 to 1 people via Cancer. This is about the same risk created by driving 18 million miles in a car.

The deeper uncertainty in this estimate is hormesis, the LNT theory may be not just on over estimate, but the reverse of the truth at some doses.

More links
Too Rad
Dr. Judith Johnsrud on Radiation Hormesis

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